Saturday, May 12, 2012

B2R's Statistical Analysis: How the MIAA coaches snubbed Eric Swain



This is the 2nd part of a series how the B2R statistically analyzed the All-MIAA Team Selections announced by the Conference on May 10, 2012.  Next up, the B2R looks how the MIAA coaches snubbed Eric Swain.  Eric Swain deserved ALL-MIAA 1ST TEAM consideration because his numbers were comparable to the best player in the MIAA in 2012 (Bret Schwartz) considering he had better statistics then the 1st Team's DH and UT.  Even for argument's sake, Swain isn't your 1st Team All-MIAA, then he's definitely on your 2nd Team.  There is absolutely no way anyone can convince me that Swain having better offensive statistics then your 2nd Team DH, and better overall statistics then your 2nd Team UT, means Swain should be a Honorable Mention.  Don't take my word for it, look at the stats:

Eric Swain, #2, SS, NWMSU
BA - .340
GP/GS - 50/50
R - 41
H - 64
HR - 10
RBI - 41
SLG% - .580
OB% - .397
BB - 15, K - 26
SB/ATT - 6/7
E - 16; FLD% - .931


Now let's look at the MIAA Player of the Year and All-MIAA 1st Team SS, Bret Schwartz, Senior, UCM:

Bret Schwartz, Senior, SS, UCM
BA - .352
GP/GS - 49/49
R - 42
H - 62 (ES HIGHER)
HR - 0 (ES HIGHER)
RBI - 37 (ES HIGHER)
SLG% - .426 (ES HIGHER)
OB% - .458
BB - 27; K - 11
SB/ATT - 10/16
E - 7; FLD% - .972

Considering Eric Swain led the MIAA Player of the Year in 4 of 13 categories, and was statistically comparable in all categories except fielding % and errors, its a logical conclusion that Eric Swain's 2012 season was in stride with the best player in the MIAA while playing the premium defensive position (Short Stop).  If Eric Swain's athletic performance is comparable to the best player in the MIAA, certainly he merits better consideration than a Honorable Mention status on the ALL-MIAA TEAM.



Let's bring look again at the ALL-MIAA 1ST TEAM DH, JOE VASKAS, Senior, Emporia State:
Eric Swain led Joe Vaskas in 5 of 13 categories, tied a sixth category, and the 2 defensive categories are a draw considering Vaskas only had 41 defensive chances versus Eric Swain's 233 defensive chances.

Joe Vaskas, Senior
GP/GS - 44/43  (ES Higher)
BA - .361
R - 26  (ES Higher)
H - 56  (ES Higher)
HR - 10 (TIED)
RBI - 50
OB% - .422 
SLG% - .671
BB - 11; K -24 (ES generated 4 more walks and only struck-out 2 more times then JV)
SB/Att - 0/0 (ES Higher)
E - 1, FLD% - .976


And All-MIAA 1st Team UT Chris Pfau, Lincoln:
Eric Swain had a better 2012 season then Chris Pfau in 7 of 13 categories.  Defensively, Pfau had less then half the chances (101) that Swain had at Short Stop (233).  In the categories that Swain led Pfau, (save hits & GP/GS) at least doubled the production that Pfau produced.  All categories that Swain led were a significant difference.  A category that Pfau led Swain, OB%, was mere percentage points (.425 versus .397).

Chris Pfau, Senior
GP/GS - 47/47 (ES HIGHER)
BA - .333 (ES Higher)
R - 15 (ES Higher)
H - 51 (ES Higher)
HR - 0 (ES Higher)
RBI - 21 (ES Higher)
OB% - .425
SLG% - .418 (ES Higher)
BB - 22; K - 19
SB/Att - 7/12
E - 6; FLD% - .941


And All-MIAA 2nd Team SS Ashton McCoy, Junior, Emporia State
Eric Swain had a better 2012 season then Ashton McCoy in 5 of 13 categories, tied a sixth category with comparable batting averages & fielding percentages (Swain had 52 more defensive chances then McCoy).

Ashton McCoy, Jr.
GP/GS - 44/44 (ES HIGHER)
BA - .352
R - 41 (TIED)
H - 58 (ES HIGHER)
HR - 2 (ES HIGHER)
RBI - 35  (ES HIGHER)
OB% - .424
SLG% - .485 (ES HIGHER)
BB - 16; K - 13
SB/ATT - 8/11
E - 10; FLD% - .945


And All-MIAA 2nd Team DH Nate Ramler, Jr., Missouri Western:
Eric Swain had a better 2012 season then Nate Ramler in 12 of 13 categories.  Shouldn't the All-MIAA DH have better offensive statistics then a Honorable Mention recepient?  The one category that Ramler led Swain was RBI and Ramler beat Swain by ONE (1) RBI.  Shouldn't a guy that doesn't have to worry about defense put up better offensive numbers?  B2R gives Swain the edge on defense considering MoWest obviously felt Ramler's glove wasn't in its top 8.  Eric Swain had to play baseball (defense is part of baseball), not just play batting practice like Ramler.

Nate Ramler, Jr.
GP/GS -47/46 (ES HIGHER)
BA - .315 (ES HIGHER)
R - 25 (ES HIGHER)
H - 51 (ES HIGHER)
HR - 9 (ES HIGHER)
RBI - 42
OB% - .359 (ES HIGHER)
SLG% - .568 (ES HIGHER)
BB - 12; K - 43 (ES HIGHER IN WALKS & 17 LESS STRIKE-OUTS)
SB/ATT - 0/1 (ES HIGHER)
E - ; FLD% - 0 RECORDED CHANCES (ES HIGHER 2X)


And All-MIAA 2nd Team UT Tyler Bean, Senior, Washburn
Eric Swain had a better 2012 season then Tyler Bean in 9 of 13 categories.  Defensively, Swain (233 chances) had more then double the chances of Bean (113).  Swain beat Bean in every other major offensive statistic, and frankly, it wasn't even close.

Tyler Bean, Sr.
GP/GS - 44/44 (ES HIGHER)
BA - .302 (ES HIGHER)
R - 27 (ES HIGHER)
H - 48 (ES HIGHER)
HR - 7 (ES HIGHER)
RBI - 34 (ES HIGHER)
OB% - .383 (ES HIGHER)
SLG% - .491 (ES HIGHER)
BB - 16; K - 6
SB/ATT - 2/3 (ES HIGHER)
E - 5; FLD% - .956

Go Cats!!
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